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- đ§ The $27 Trillion Floodgates Have Opened. Act Accordingly.
đ§ The $27 Trillion Floodgates Have Opened. Act Accordingly.
Therapy Recap: TradFi wants your bitcoin, your custodian's custodian has been secretly insolvent for years and Apple hates freedom tech
GM.
Welcome back to Bitcoin Therapy. Weâre like jelly to your peanut butter sandwich. Without us, it just feels wrong.
First, happy Sunday to 1,801 of you reading today.
It feels like weâre at the âthen they fight youâ stage. Strap yourself; weâre bringing the fire in this weekâs email. đĽ
Hereâs what we got for you this week:
$27 Trillion TradFi money is coming to Bitcoin
Prime Trust = Crime Trust
Damus (wrongly) kicked out of App Store
Estimated read time: 4 minutes and 45 seconds
TRADFI WANTS YOUR BITCOIN
The floodgates are about to open. Brace yourself - green dildos are coming.
In our last email, we wrote about how TradFi is taking over crypto. Well, itâs accelerating.
Hereâs a complete list of financial behemoths entering the game:
BlackRock
Fidelity
JP Morgan
Morgan Stanley
Goldman Sachs
BNY Mellon
Invesco
Bank of America
In total, they manage $27 Trillion. Thatâs TRILLION with a capital T.
To put into perspective, Bitcoinâs market cap is âź$600 billion - a drop compared to these TradFi giants.
Okay, I know you LOVE our napkin math, so here goes:
*whips out a calculator*
A mere 5% of this $27 Trillion going into Bitcoin would 3X the price
Yes. The answer is yes: we will finally get girlfriends if this happens.
But letâs get back to planet Earth for a second and look at some quick facts:
The world is de-dollarizing (a new global currency will be needed)
The hash rate is at ATH - (miners are as bullish as ever)
Halving is happening in 2024 (bitcoin price tends to 10x every halving, we wrote about it here)
Bitcoin supply on exchanges at an all-time-low (decreased sell pressure)
TradFi â¤ď¸ Bitcoin
This is pure bull juice. I must step away and calm my body as I write this.
Alright, Iâm back. Thereâs still one key player I havenât mentioned yet.
You. The humble sat stacker.
You, the pleb thatâs front-running the institutions.
Pat yourself on the back and get a cold brewski.
But be prepared. You will see a lot more rug pulls, lawsuits, and bankruptcies.
Bitcoin Therapy advice: hold your coins, run your full node, and go on frequent boating trips.
Youâre gonna make it.
APPLE KICKS DAMUS OUT APP STORE
First they ignore you, then they laugh at you, then they fight you, then you win.
Weâre at the âthey fight youâ stage. Whatâs going on? Let me tell you, frens.
Apple is removing a decentralized Nostr client, âDamus,â for allowing users to tip each other with Bitcoin payments without bank or government permission.
If you didnât know, Apple takes a 30% cut from all sales of digital products.
Okay, fair enough. Their platform = their rules. Simple, right?
Except thereâs one issue.
Apple decided to go full reetodd and claim that Damus is the middle man facilitating user payments AND selling services to its users.
So naturally, they expect a cut. A cut of something Damus doesnât get.
What Apple doesnât know (or want to know) is that:
All content on Damus (and other Nostr clients) is 100% free
The payments are peer-to-peer
Itâs open source
Damus doesnât make any money from people zapping each other.
Does Apple care? No.
Mr Cook, pls. I know youâre reading this. Stop being regarded. Thanks! <3
Now we arenât some old geezers here at Bitcoin Therapy, but weâre old enough the remember when Apple used to stand for something:
Apple in 2011: âApple is about people who think âoutside the box,â people who want to use computers to change the world, to create things that make a difference.â
Apple in 2023: âHey Damus, give us 30% of every zap, or we will ban you. Oh, you donât take a cut? We know. We just donât care, silly.
Apple knows exactly what theyâre doing. They donât like permissionless peer-to-peer payments. They donât want you to be free.
Cope harder, Apple.
Bitcoin will make your App Store monopoly obsolete.
PRIME TRUST = CRIME TRUST
There is no boring week in Bitcoin. Every week, a crypto company goes bust. This week is no exception
Meet Prime Trust - the popular digital asset custodian many of your favorite bitcoin companies use.
Prime Trust has a simple math problem:
They owe their clients $155 million
They only have $71 million
The answer: REKT.
Essentially, 54% of PTâs customer assets are gone. Poof.
Mind you, PT was a regulated custodian. So how could this happen?
Well, the answer is pretty dumb: they lost access to their wallets in 2021. This means they have been insolvent for a few years now.
I wish they were as good at managing risk as hiding things from the public. Here are the juicy deets:
PT goes through a management change in 2021. New management, who dis?
What is the first thing the new management does? They lose access to some old wallets.
And what do you do when you lose client funds? You try to hide by buying back the assets using other clientsâ assets, of course
New client deposits were used to pay back old clients. The good old Charles Ponzi playbook.
Now PT is short $84 million of customer funds.
This is a classic example of âplay stupid games, win stupid prizesâ. In PTâs case, their prize is bankruptcy, with many lawsuits as the cherry on top.
But wait, it gets better. PTâs largest holding is an illiquid sh*tcoin called AUDIO (at this point, Iâm convinced there is some random sh*tcoin name generator)
There are two options, both of which are bad:
They hold aUdiO for their clients
They were so deep in a hole they decided to yolo all client funds into random small-cap altcoin to 100x it back in one trade.
Knowing what we know now about Prime Trust, the second option doesnât seem that crazy.
Now that everyone and their dog are digging into Prime Trust, more dirty laundry has been uncovered. Hereâs what we know so far:
Owns over $80 million to its customers
Used customer funds for FTX's political contributions
Been operating in Texas without a money-transmitter license
Sued for fraud by an N9 (an investment firm)
Anyways, it's not going to be fun for PTâs clients. Messy Bankruptcies like this can take years to get funds back, if ever.
TLDR: Prime trust = crime trust
This is FTX-level fraud. SBF would be proud.
BTW, Prime Trust says "all systems operational" on their status page. I believe them. After all, their systems operate on light load since their wallets are empty.
Anyways, donât trust third-party custodians, anon. Be like our boy Nick:
"Trusted third parties are security holesâ
What Iâve been reading
The Bitcoin Breakdown - written by our futuristic friend Naiw.
What you get:
A quick overview of headlines
Summary of the best articles
Bitcoin guides and explainers
5 minutes of pure signal every Tuesday
Written by an actual alien đ˝
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This week in a meme
Slowly, then suddenly.
Job of the week
Johh Carvalhoâs Synonym is looking for Mobile App Developer to join their forces.
Theyâre building multiple Bitcoin native products to advance the Bitcoin economy.
If I was a dev, this is what I would want to work on đ
From the archive
That one time Satoshi told you to stop being a little bish and custody your Bitcoin.
Source: Trust me bro
Thatâs it for this one.
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See you next Sunday,
Bitcoin Therapy Team
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